EV vs Petrol: The Honest 5-Year TCO Math (India, 2026)

Forget the brochure. We modelled the real 5-year cost of three popular EVs against their petrol equivalents. Two win. One doesn’t.

Assumptions

  • 15,000 km/year (50% city @ 6 km/kWh or 14 km/L, 50% highway @ 5 km/kWh or 16 km/L)
  • Electricity: ₹9/kWh (Maharashtra residential blended, 80% home / 20% DC fast at ₹18/kWh)
  • Petrol: ₹104.7/L (Pune, June 2026)
  • Service: EV ₹4,000/yr avg; petrol ₹9,000/yr avg
  • Insurance: comprehensive, +12% on EV due to battery cover
  • Resale: 45% at year 5 for petrol; 35% for EV (battery uncertainty discount)

Tata Punch EV vs Tata Punch petrol

5-year cost Punch EV (LR) Punch petrol (top)
On-road price ₹14.5 L ₹10.8 L
Fuel/electricity ₹1.1 L ₹4.9 L
Service ₹0.2 L ₹0.45 L
Insurance ₹1.4 L ₹1.25 L
Less: resale -₹5.1 L -₹4.9 L
Total 5-yr cost ₹12.1 L ₹12.5 L

EV wins by ₹40,000. Tight, but the EV gets you there cheaper.

MG ZS EV vs Hyundai Creta petrol

EV wins by ₹2.3 lakh over 5 years. The higher upfront pays back at month 41.

Mahindra XUV400 EV vs Mahindra XUV700 petrol

Petrol wins by ₹1.8 lakh. The XUV400’s price premium over a comparable petrol XUV700 base trim is too steep, and resale is brutal because the model already feels dated.

The rule of thumb

EV beats petrol when: annual driving ≥ 12,000 km, you have home charging, AND the EV variant’s price premium is < ₹4 lakh. Below 12,000 km/year, petrol still wins for most use cases — the maths simply doesn’t catch up.

[This is a developing piece — full review coming June 2026. Updated as we gather more data from Indian roads.]

By Gagan Thakur. Independent. No manufacturer money. See the methodology or the about page.